Thx for providing the impetus for reviving the blog!
I hope you're right. Hillary/Obama would clearly be the dream ticket. Hard to say how it would go down. I'd have to think that Obama would prefer not to be asked. I think he would chafe under Clinton for 8 years, and while it may be the dream ticket for an election, I don't see them working well together. But, if Hillary asks, I think he has to say yes. Interesting to ponder whether she would ask. It reminds me of 2000 and Gore, in that Hillary will have to decide whether it's more important to win or to do what she wants.
But I'm more concerned about nastiness precluding this and tarnishing them both. I don't see big policy differences between them, and if it's not quite about character, it's about tarnishing each other with the brushes of 'too inexperienced' vs. 'more of the same'. I don't see future debates being that illuminating, and we'll have to deal with moderators continually baiting them.
I will take a look at those exit polls and get back with my thoughts. One comment (re: IA, actually) that I thought was right on is that Obama is doing well in places with almost no blacks or with blacks making up a majority of Dems, but not with the in between states. This would track with the belief that white-black tensions are higher when the races are actually in contact with each other. It's a lot easier to not be prejudiced in theory than in practice.
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Why does this remind you of 2000 and Gore? The shorthand isn't immediately evident.
I thought at first you were talking about 1992, when the Gore decision was all Clinton. Conventional wisdom would have had him pick for demographic or geographic balance, or at least a gray-haired Bentsen type to offset his youth, and did none of those three. Clinton and Gore didn't fall out until 1998 and Monica, when some of Gore's proxies in the opinion press called on Clinton to resign.
To be more clear, a popular read (which I concur with) of 2000 is that Gore was so offended by Clinton's personal conduct that he held Clinton at arm's length during the campaign, despite Clinton's sky-high popularity and conventional opinion that associating himself with Clinton's successes would be a boost in the general election. Similarly, Hillary's Nov. chances would be enhanced with Obama, but I think she would be too threatened to pick him. Shame.
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